Report by: Imran Afzal
According to Ug news Europe,French President Emmanuel Macron’s speech at the event called “France in the world” within the framework of the 59th Munich Security Conference is based on several factors. there is a factor.The first factor is the recent earthquakes in Turkey. France understands well that in order to strengthen itself in the South Caucasus, it is necessary to suppress not only Russia, but also Turkey. Because the reputation of Turkey is quite high. France has not been able to suppress Turkey with anything so far. Because the brotherly country has enough resources.However, the natural disaster hit Turkey’s economy very hard.These views were expressed by political expert Elshan Majidov in his statement to Ug News Europe.The political expert said that the latest earthquake will affect not only Turkey’s economy, but also its foreign policy and military capabilities.Because it is necessary to spend and attract enough funds to restore the economic and social situation in the country. To do these things, it will be necessary to make some transfers from the budget, as well as limit some areas and transfer money to other directions. It can be assumed that brother Turkey will have to moderate its foreign policy in order to attract foreign investment. France will take these factors into account and try to suppress Turkey.According to Elshan Majidov, the second factor is related to Russia. French President Emmanuel Macron is well aware that Russia’s economic situation has changed somewhat due to the war. Thus, on December 5 of last year, ceiling prices were applied for Russian oil, and on February 5 of this year, for the country’s oil products. After these applications, Russia loses 160 million dollars per day for the first issue, and 280 million dollars for the second issue. As a result, Russia’s oil and non-oil revenues have decreased, while its expenses have increased by approximately 60 percent. Against the background of all this, a deficit of 1.71 trillion rubles was created in the state budget of Russia. It goes without saying that it will be very difficult to fill the resulting budget deficit. So, in order to meet the budget deficit, Russia should either raise taxes, issue money, or borrow. In this situation, no one will lend money to Russia.Because they know that Russia will not be able to repay the debt. Even when Russia had to pay its foreign public debt in euros and dollars, it could not afford it and paid it in its local currency. It had gotten to the point where outside forces wanted to force it into default. In this situation, even if someone lends money to Russia, it will be at a high interest rate.The government is not concerned with raising taxes. If this happens, it will affect the rating of President Vladimir Putin. The third way is to issue money. This way can create a strong inflation in Russia in the medium and long term. Even when Russia had to pay its foreign public debt in euros and dollars, it could not afford it and paid it in its local currency. It had gotten to the point where outside forces wanted to force it into default. In this situation, even if someone lends money to Russia, it will be at a high interest rate. The government is not concerned with raising taxes. If this happens, it will affect the rating of President Vladimir Putin. The third way is to issue money. This way can create a strong inflation in Russia in the medium and long term. Even when Russia had to pay its foreign public debt in euros and dollars, it could not afford it and paid it in its local currency. It had gotten to the point where outside forces wanted to force it into default. In this situation, even if someone lends money to Russia, it will be at a high interest rate. The government is not concerned with raising taxes. If this happens, it will affect the rating of President Vladimir Putin. The third way is to issue money. This way can create a strong inflation in Russia in the medium and long term. If this happens, it will affect the rating of President Vladimir Putin. The third way is to issue money. This way can create a strong inflation in Russia in the medium and long term. If this happens, it will affect the rating of President Vladimir Putin. The third way is to issue money. This way can create a strong inflation in Russia in the medium and long term.
The expert emphasized that Emmanuel Macron also understands all this and understands that Russia’s means of pressure and influence are weakening. In such a case, France is trying to use the current situation of both Russia and Turkey to show that it is with Armenia and to strengthen it. Also, Macron understands that the relations between Russia and Armenia are at the lowest level for the first time since the collapse of the USSR.On the other hand, pro-Russian politicians have recently joined Western-oriented politicians who have been making accusations against Russia. For example, political scientists like Aleksandr Iskandaryan have recently been making harsh accusations against Russia. Macron sees this emerging situation and makes statements that Armenia is in the summer. With this, France is trying to squeeze Russia slowly in the Caucasus:
“Emmanuel Macron touched on several points at the event. He said that Russia creates chaos in the region and implements a new colonial policy. The purpose of all this is to present Russia as a destructive factor, not only in Armenia, but also in Karabakh. However, the presence of this destructive factor, that is, the presentation of Russia in this way, has positive aspects for Azerbaijan.The positive side for Azerbaijan is that it will not be possible to replace the Russian peacekeeping contingent with an international contingent from Western countries. That is, it is impossible to get an international mandate for the Russian peacekeeping contingent. Previously, they wanted to remove Russian peacekeepers from the region in general and place an international contingent in Karabakh. Azerbaijan does not agree with this and it cannot be accepted. Then they came up with another option. They said that if Azerbaijan does not give an international mandate to Russia, then by the decision of the UN Security Council, an international mandate should be given to Russian peacekeepers.For this, negotiations with Russia should be held on the condition that their interests are satisfied, and after that peacekeepers should be given an international mandate. However, the current situation has led to the fact that this issue cannot be discussed or resolved within the framework of the UN Security Council.Because France-Russia relations have reached the highest point after Emmanuel Macron’s statement.These two countries will no longer be able to try to discuss the issue in the Security Council by carrying out secret deals with each other,” concluded Elshan Majidov.
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